瑞士再保险公司的研究表明保险公司近些年面临成本提升过快的难题，诉讼周期更长、律师费与专家费更高。而AI黑盒的广泛引用进一步放大了这一点，抬高了非标争议、算法审计、取证复杂度与专家证人的费用。于是每一次理赔都可能是一场关于边界与准则的司法辩论，保险公司的要先付出多少不可逆的辩护与审计成本。
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Like other prediction markets, Kalshi lets users make trades based on a variety of different subjects and events. For example, you could participate in a market focused on the results of a basketball game, or something more unusual, like who'll win the current season of Survivor. Despite resembling gambling, online predictive markets aren't currently regulated by state gambling laws, and instead classify bets as a type of futures contract, placing them under the purview of the CFTC. That hasn't stopped states from trying to regulate prediction markets anyway. For example, Nevada sued Kalshi for operating a sports gambling market without a permit earlier in February.